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Energy Security
Reliable, affordable, dispatchable power has become a binding constraint on economic growth, industrial competitiveness, and technological progress.
Macro Thesis
Surging demand from AI, data centers, and advanced manufacturing is colliding with an aging, congested grid and geopolitical supply risks. This creates structural alpha for operators delivering firm, non-intermittent energy, particularly off-grid or behind-the-meter solutions that de-risk customers from grid volatility. Energy is foundational: you cannot achieve broader national or economic security without it.
Key Macro Drivers
- Approximately 70% of U.S. transmission lines are over 25 years old. Interconnection queues and permitting delays are slowing new supply while load accelerates rapidly.
- AI and data-center power demand could reach 100+ GW by 2030–2035, up from approximately 25 GW recently . This contributes to overall electricity demand growth of 2–5%+ annually in aggressive scenarios, far above historical trends.
- The Strait of Hormuz carries approximately 20% of global oil consumption and 20% of LNG trade. Any sustained disruption transmits inflation worldwide, underscoring the premium on diversified, resilient energy supply.
- Europe's pre-2022 reliance on Russian pipeline gas (up to 45% of EU imports in key economies) exposed the continent to sharp price shocks, industrial curtailments, and persistent cost pressures even after diversification. Energy dependence rapidly translates into macroeconomic strain and reduced strategic autonomy.
Key Categories
- Dispatchable natural gas generation: peaking, firming, and dedicated behind-the-meter capacity for hyperscale and industrial loads. Immediate scalability and operational flexibility as a bridge resource.
- Nuclear power and SMR development: decades-long, high-capacity-factor baseload (approximately 90%+) for energy-intensive, mission-critical applications. Corporate offtake from hyperscalers is de-risking development and proving commercial viability for co-location.
- Critical fuels and minerals: supply chain inputs essential to both conventional and next-generation energy production.
- Behind-the-meter and off-grid systems: dedicated power solutions that bypass grid congestion and deliver reliability independent of utility infrastructure.
Where We Invest
We target operators in dispatchable generation, nuclear development and SMR supply chains, critical fuels and minerals, and behind-the-meter systems. We focus on operational expertise to navigate regulatory and technical complexity while capturing the convergence of AI-driven demand with constrained energy supply.